Friday 11 January 2008

Fusion and Fission

Gordon Brown's government this week gave the go-ahead for a new generation of nuclear power plants in the UK. A relatively bold move, but one that all energy and economic analysts knew that they would have to do eventually.


At the same time Sir David King (a man who I greatly respect for - as the article states, first bringing Climate Change onto Tony Blair's agenda) has criticised green campaigners for potentially harming the Climate Change debate (or rather the action on Climate Change).

When I was at university studying Environmental Management, I came across a few greenies (and lived with a couple). They joined environmental NGOs and a couple of them were really into what they did, volunteering for local cleanup charities - and some of them went on to work for them. Which is fantastic. 

I was also always accused of being a tree-hugger by my friends (who didn't really know what I did) and was asked whether I was a member of a charity or was going to work for one. I always gave the same reply: "I think there are bigger and better ways of improving the environment than working for an NGO - working from within a company or government (something which has regularly sparked debate within NGOs)". 

Sir David King , in his article accuses Greenpeace of being Luddites (link included for any Americans) with respect to their stance on Climate Change. And I am inclined to agree with some of his thoughts. In my opinion, the threat of climate change is so huge now (species have already been made extinct, the great barrier reef is at 60% of it size 20 years ago, the destruction of the polar ice caps is accelerating the whole business - i could go on) that it vastly outweighs the smaller threat of a (don't get me wrong - completely horrific and undesirable Chernobyl). Any risk has got to be weighed on potential severity as well as the likelihood that it will happen (99% for climate change). 

What further complicates matters is the fact that the UK is on the potential verge of a very large energy crisis that absolutely no-one seems to be taking a blind pit of notice of. It seems that the economy has been so hunky dory for so long now that people have forgotten past energy crises. Consider: 
  • We have used almost all of our natural gas which we found in the North Sea (and which triggered the period of economic prosperity that we are now in) and within the next 10 years we will be 90% reliant on natural gas imported from Russia;
  • All of our coal fired power plants are old and knackered;
  • the lead time on the construction of a nuclear power plant is something like nearly 20 years (I didn't check this so correct me if I am wrong).
When you consider the evidence - the main shocker is that Gordon didn't sign the papers earlier!

The absolute last, last thing we want to do is to return to coal as the Australians (incidentally the largest emitters of CO2 per capita in the world) will continue to do (Rudd staunchly rejecting nuclear options). A lot of people (for example the Yorkshire RDA) have been pushing what they term "clean coal". Essentially this would mean use of some form of Combined Cycle Gasification with untested carbon capture schemes. This really is no solution to me. The lead time for the carbon capture would be no better than turning to nuclear, and this does not address the fact that there are so many people on this planet (1.2 bn in 1900, 6bn in 2000) that we would just be accelerating the time it took to rid the planet of coal resources forever.

I cant see any other option than (short term) to continue to flog our old plants until we can build some nuclear ones, in the meantime trying to pursue efficiency and renewables to take the load off the grid wherever we can. 

My former boss and mentor always tells me that in a century or so we may be able to find the solution to safer fusion power but until then...

In the meantime I think the time has come for the likes of Greenpeace to pull their heads out of their arses...

6 comments:

Whit said...

Hippie.

Too bad we couldn't figure out a way to get power from something like wind or the sun. That sure would be nice.

M. Simon said...

It may well be that we will have the key to fusion power in 70 to 120 days:

WB-7 First Plasma

Of course if the Euros want to do stupid stuff like ITER they will never get it.

Plasma Physicist Dr. Nicholas Krall said, "We spent $15 billion dollars studying tokamaks and what we learned about them is that they are no damn good."

BTW climate is always changing and species go extinct. It is natural.

Temps have been flat for the last 10 years and the solar boys are predicting an ice age. So we could very well be at an inflection point.

First snow in Baghdad in 100 years. It may just be weather. It might be climate.

Anonymous said...

"I think the time has come for the likes of Greenpeace to pull their heads out of their arses" Lyrical eloquence of the highest calibre my friend. You always did have a way with words. P

Anonymous said...

I quite agree onall your points. Lovelock, Wendle Berry and many other "treehuggers" are in your corner.

However, short of a Energy "silver bullet" like fusion or Nano-Solar, Here is a fully DOABLE technology


This technology represents the most comprehensive, low cost, and productive approach to long term stewardship and sustainability.Terra Preta Soils a process for Carbon Negative Bio fuels, massive Carbon sequestration, 1/3 Lower CH4 & N2O soil emissions, and 3X Fertility Too. Terra Preta (TP)soils and closed-loop pyrolysis of Biomass, this integrated virtuous cycle could sequester 100s of Billions of tons of carbon to the soils.


UN Climate Change Conference: Biochar present at the Bali Conference
http://terrapreta.bioenergylists.org/steinerbalinov2107



SCIAM Article May 15 07;

http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?articleID=5670236C-E7F2-99DF-3E2163B9FB144E40



After many years of reviewing solutions to anthropogenic global warming (AGW) I believe this technology can manage Carbon for the greatest collective benefit at the lowest economic price, on vast scales. It just needs to be seen by ethical globally minded companies.

Could you please consider looking for a champion for this orphaned Terra Preta Carbon Soil Technology.

The main hurtle now is to change the current perspective held by the IPCC that the soil carbon cycle is a wash, to one in which soil can be used as a massive and ubiquitous Carbon sink via Charcoal. Below are the first concrete steps in that direction;

S.1884 – The Salazar Harvesting Energy Act of 2007

A Summary of Biochar Provisions in S.1884:

Carbon-Negative Biomass Energy and Soil Quality Initiative

for the 2007 Farm Bill

http://www.biochar-international.org/newinformationevents/newlegislation.html

Even with all the big corporations coming to the GHG negotiation table, like Exxon, Alcoa, .etc, we still need to keep watch as they try to influence how carbon management is legislated in the USA. Carbon must have a fair price, that fair price and the changes in the view of how the soil carbon cycle now can be used as a massive sink verses it now being viewed as a wash, will be of particular value to farmers and a global cool breath of fresh air for us all.

If you have any other questions please feel free to call me or visit the TP web site I've been drafted to co-administer. http://terrapreta.bioenergylists.org/?q=node

It has been immensely gratifying to see all the major players join the mail list , Cornell folks, T. Beer of Kings Ford Charcoal (Clorox), Novozyne the M-Roots guys(fungus), chemical engineers, Dr. Danny Day of EPRIDA , Dr. Antal of U. of H., Virginia Tech folks and probably many others who's back round I don't know have joined.

Also Here is the Latest BIG Terra Preta Soil news;

The Honolulu Advertiser: "The nation's leading manufacturer of charcoal has licensed a University of Hawai'i process for turning green waste into barbecue briquets."

See: http://terrapreta.bioenergylists.org/antalkingsford



ConocoPhillips Establishes $22.5 Million Pyrolysis Program at Iowa State

http://www.conocophillips.com/newsroom/news_releases/2007news/04-10-2007.htm

Glomalin, the recently discovered soil protien, may be the secret to to TP soils productivity;

http://www.ars.usda.gov/is/pr/2003/030205.htm

All the Bio-Char Companies and equipment manufactures I've found:

Carbon Diversion
http://www.carbondiversion.com/


Eprida: Sustainable Solutions for Global Concerns
http://www.eprida.com/home/index.php4

BEST Pyrolysis, Inc. | Slow Pyrolysis - Biomass - Clean Energy - Renewable Ene
http://www.bestenergies.com/companies/bestpyrolysis.html


Dynamotive Energy Systems | The Evolution of Energy
http://www.dynamotive.com/

Ensyn - Environmentally Friendly Energy and Chemicals
http://www.ensyn.com/who/ensyn.htm

Agri-Therm, developing bio oils from agricultural waste
http://www.agri-therm.com/

Advanced BioRefinery Inc.
http://www.advbiorefineryinc.ca/

Technology Review: Turning Slash into Cash
http://www.technologyreview.com/Energy/17298/


3R Environmental Technologies Ltd. (Edward Someus)
WEB: http://www.terrenum.net/

The company has Swedish origin and developing/designing medium and large scale carbonization units. The company is the licensor and technology provider to NviroClean Tech Ltd British American organization WEB: http://www.nvirocleantech.com and VERTUS Ltd.
http://www.vertustechnologies.com

The International Agrichar Initiative (IAI) conference held at Terrigal, NSW, Australia in 2007. ( http://iaiconference.org/home.html ) ( The papers from this conference are now being posted at their home page)
.

If pre-Columbian Kayopo Indians could produce these soils up to 6 feet deep over 15% of the Amazon basin using "Slash & CHAR" verses "Slash & Burn", it seems that our energy and agricultural industries could also product them at scale.

Harnessing the work of this vast number of microbes and fungi changes the whole equation of energy return over energy input (EROEI) for food and Bio fuels. I see this as the only sustainable agricultural strategy if we no longer have cheap fossil fuels for fertilizer.

We need this super community of wee beasties to work in concert with us by populating them into their proper Soil horizon Carbon Condos.

Carbon back to the Dirt!!


Erich J. Knight
540-289-9750
shengar at aol.com

Sam said...

And I used to run such a peaceful blog...

Whit - I would have liked to have been a hippie (power to the people and all that), unfortunately I was born too late. I have this idea for capturing energy from the wind - it involves some kind of fan in reverse, attached to a turbine. I call them "wind capture blades" Do you think it will sell? ;)

M - I am not big on fusion tecnology, but promise to check out your links before I do any gibbering on the topic next time :). All I know about ITER is that we (the UK) spend a bloody lot of money on it!

On the subject of Climate Change science, I think you may be just a little behind the pack (I am guessing American;) ). I usually refuse to enter any kind of debate on the science as I think that debating is all we have done so far, is a waste of time since we now have scientific consensus, and it adds delay to any solution.

But I will make a small exception this time, just to say: Yes the climate is always changing; Yes there have been mass extinctions in the past, Yes they were always linked to level of CO2 in the atmosphere (e.g. evolution of coral leading to a massive carbon sink). No, the climate has never changed as rapidly as it is doing, Yes; the fastest recorded rise in recent history was a rise of 5 deg C over 10 millennia (20,000 to 10,000 year ago - humans have been around for 60,000 years for scale) and warming is now taking place 30 times faster. And 19,000 years ago (during this warm period) the sea level rose by 10-15m.

Unfortunately now we are in the Anthropocene and climate is regulated by how much CO2 humans put into the atmosphere.

Temperatures being flat for the last 10 years is relative, and also irrelevant.

P - You know you can put your name in the title. Usually I write my rants out and then go back and edit them so as to try not to insult anyone too much.

Hi Nicole - Wow, a long comment, I hope you copied and pasted that and didnt have to write it all out.

I dont know a lot about bio-char as a carbon sequestration opportunity (although I do about biofuels), I think carbon sequestration definitely has a part to play, but the issue for the UK at the moment, it where to get the damn energy from.


Wow, I think thats the longest comment I have ever written. I need to lie down.

Anonymous said...

dj
completely agree, where have the hippies got us so far?
i think we should go nuclear but would like to see some of the money the goverment spends on it also invested in renewables! it would keep me in a job after all!

hope australia is still being good to you! we both miss you
benno xxxx